2025 Fantasy Baseball ADP: Best Draft Steals (Part 4)

After ranking the top players at each position earlier in the offseason, we have moved our focus to looking at ADP, and how it can help your draft strategy for fantasy baseball in 2025.

For those of you who are not familiar, who might be wondering “What is ADP in fantasy baseball?”, ADP stands for Average Draft Position. It is a reflection of where players are typically being selected in the draft ahead of the upcoming 2025 fantasy baseball season.

You might wonder, “How do I use ADP values to win?”.

The best way to utilize ADP is to focus on players with upside based on where they are getting drafted. For example, if you find Bo Bichette is getting drafted behind shortstops that have a much lower ceiling than him, you might look at Bichette’s ADP and consider it to be very valuable.

This could be your chance to get top-tier talent in the later round of your fantasy draft, providing you the steal of a pick that could put your fantasy team over the top.

This isn’t a sleepers list, nor a busts list. This is about identifying which guys are lower than they should be according to the National Fantasy Baseball Championship rankings.  

For this fourth set of players, I will be selecting five players from spots 150-100. This marks the fourth part in a six-part series, where are identified the players with the best ADP values on the board ahead of the 2025 fantasy baseball season.

Check out part 3 of this series for players ranked 200-150.

Bo Bichette – #142

Let’s not forget what Bo Bichette accomplished just two years ago. The Toronto shortstop led MLB in hits both in 2021 and 2022. And his 2023 was solid too; he hit .306 on the season. So what happened in 2024?

Bichette was not barreling up any balls at all, causing his good contact to go out the window. He was also contributing little to no power. This resulted in a career low in home runs and average by a large margin.

It’s worth noting that Bichette never had an OPS below .800 pre-2024, a very impressive truth for a guy who is known for his contact. 

Putting it in the simplest of terms, Bichette offers tremendous bounceback potential if we take into consideration what he has done in the past. I trust a player who has shown me solid production multiple years in a row.

Another thing I expect to make a comeback is his ability to steal. Toronto’s offense needs a spark, and Bichette creating chaos on the base paths could ignite some energy. 

Drafters may be happy about his awful 2024 if he has a comeback 2025 because of the massive discount in ADP. Next year at this time we may be laughing about how Anthony Volpe was being drafted ahead of Bichette!

Spencer Strider – #134

Strider will not pitch the most innings in 2025, so the depth will not be there. However, if we are talking arm talent and pitch-for-pitch success, he’s got the ability to be the best in the game. 

The strikeout numbers were otherworldly in both 2022 and 2023, with K/9s of 13.8 and 13.5, respectively.

A pitcher coming off Tommy John surgery typically raises most fantasy managers’ eyebrows, which is exactly why you should strike. This discount is one of the largest I’ve seen for an ace like Strider, and I expect his price to only get more expensive as we approach March.

Whether it’s Strider, Chris Sale, Spencer Schwellenbach, or Reynaldo López, I say focus on the Braves starting rotation. Not only are these four solid pitchers, but their run support will be much better than it was in 2024.

When fully healthy back in 2023, Atlanta owned the best run differential across the majors. 

Are you really going to draft the shaky Carlos Rodón a round earlier than Strider? I wouldn’t, but to each their own. Strider may miss some time at the beginning of the season. I don’t care and neither should you. The results once he returns will be worth the wait.

Mike Trout – #133

It seems to be a sick joke at this point. Fans are being robbed of full Mike Trout seasons. And even when he is present on the field, it’s for the Los Angeles Angels. Ugh.

His Baseball Reference page is astonishing. The Statcast metrics are wild. We know he’s one of the greatest the game has ever seen. Now let’s talk about where he would potentially land in drafts if a full season was in store. I’ll tell you one thing, it’s not at pick #132. 

Look no further than two seasons ago in 2023 when he jacked 40 long balls in 119 games. In other words, 43 missed games still resulted in one of the largest home run totals across the major leagues. When I tell you he still has first-round talent at the age of 33, I’m not kidding. 

One additional nugget I’d like to mention is the fact that Trout still displays 90th-percentile sprint speed! I know the Angels are so afraid to send him because of injury risk, but I have a feeling Ron Washington might override some of that front-office mentality.

In Washington’s first season managing Trout, the superstar stole six bases in 29 games. This is encouraging, and although it’s no guarantee Trout will continue stealing in 2025, it’s worth remembering that Washington is one of the most aggressive managers out there. 

So, don’t draft an outfielder with an extremely low ceiling a round earlier. For example, consider Ian Happ. He can’t single-handedly win you a matchup, but Trout could. Take the discount plus high ceiling and hope for the best health possible.

Bryan Woo – #131

In the same way Spencer Strider probably won’t be leading the league in most depth stats, neither will Bryan Woo. Yet, Woo has true potential to be one of the best starters in the league. It’s as if he is the hidden gem amid Seattle’s deep rotation. 

The data backs up his 2024 performance. His Statcast xERA of 2.72 was even lower than his 2.89 ERA, while he walks almost nobody. In 121.2 innings, Woo issued 13 walks the whole season!

You would think maintaining that type of walk rate would eventually give way to some mistakes over the plate and result in a higher ERA. The opposite happened, and Woo kept the ball inside the ballpark reasonably well (1.04 HR/9).

Woo doesn’t allow batters to barrel up much at all, while he hits the edges with elite control. That combination is often a recipe for major success, especially in a place like T-Mobile Park. The strikeouts will be solid while the ERA and WHIP are going to be even better for your fantasy ratios.

I see Woo as a much safer option than someone like Jack Flaherty who is going a bit earlier. Flaherty was great in 2024, however regression is expected and Flaherty’s year-to-year performance is shaky.

I’d go with Woo because I don’t expect injuries to be much of an issue moving forward. In fact, I see 2025 as the year many fans learn his name.

Jake Burger – #124

Burger has now been traded away for middling prospects for the second time in his career. Both moves were perplexing, considering he’s not that expensive and under team control until 2029.

Surprisingly, teams just don’t seem to be valuing Burger a whole lot. They must not be too happy with his fielding because in my eyes, I see a tremendous power hitter. 

Back in 2023, Burger jacked 34 homers while following up that performance with 29 in 2024. Now with the Texas Rangers, Burger has the chance to be strong in the counting stats department as well.

Many in the fantasy community think he will not be getting everyday at-bats, and to that I say nonsense. Do we really think Leody Taveras or Josh Smith is going to be getting more opportunities than Burger?

In today’s MLB environment, which is controlled by power and OPS, I don’t think so. Pencil in Burger at designated hitter.

He also carries first base eligibility, which is a big plus, and he is changing to a better home park environment. Believe it or not, Texas is better suited for round trippers than Miami. And when a player like Mark Vientos is going four rounds earlier with only one year under his belt, I’d rather take the experience and discount that comes with Rakin’ Jake. 

Continue to Part 5 for players ranked 100-50.