Updated 2024 MLB World Series Odds After 60 Games
Just Baseball offers another quick look at the World Series odds ten weeks into the 2024 Major League Baseball season.
More than two months into the 2024 MLB season, it appears unlikely — although not impossible — that either of last year’s World Series participants will return to the Fall Classic.
The defending World Series champion Texas Rangers have had something of a World Series hangover. Still, they remain in the playoff picture by virtue of the AL West being arguably the weakest division in baseball.
How much of a boost Texas gets if and when the trio of Max Scherzer, Jacob deGrom and Tyler Mahle return from injuries will go a long way in determining if this team will partake in October baseball this season.
Meanwhile, the Arizona Diamondbacks have definitely had a hangover after last year’s Cinderella run to an NL pennant. Corbin Carroll, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Gabriel Moreno have all disappointed. Both Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly are currently on the injured list. Offseason acquisitions Jordan Montgomery and Eugenio Suárez haven’t panned out to this point.
Outside of a few teams, the NL is pretty bad this year, so the Snakes may still be alive by virtue of the three Wild Card spots up for grabs in the senior circuit. But clearly, they’ve underwhelmed as a team this year.
Without ruling either the Rangers or Diamondbacks out as World Series contenders, here’s an updated look at the odds of all 30 teams, with neither of last year’s participants in the top seven.
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World Series Odds: The Favorites
Los Angeles Dodgers: +300
With the trio of Mookie Betts, Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman leading the lineup, anything shy of a parade float will be a disappointment for the Dodgers.
Tyler Glasnow and Yoshinobu Yamamoto have been excellent atop the rotation, as has Gavin Stone. Imagine how dominant this team will be if Bobby Miller and Clayton Kershaw give them a boost this summer, and/or Walker Buehler hits his stride.
New York Yankees: +500
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto make for as good of a one-two punch as there is in baseball right now, and the Yankees have been bolstered by breakout seasons from Luis Gil and Anthony Volpe.
A return from reigning AL Cy Young Gerrit Cole doesn’t seem far off, which could be what allows the Yankees to return to the World Series for the first time since 2009.
Philadelphia Phillies: +600
No team has a better starting pitching quartet than what the Phillies have in Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola, Ranger Suàrez and Cristopher Sánchez, while Matt Strahm, Jeff Hoffman, Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are all All-Star candidates, too.
Whether it’s Trea Turner returning, Nick Castellanos heating up, a major trade or some combination, if the Phillies can get more power production from their right-handed hitters, they’ll be pretty close to a perfect team.
Atlanta Braves: +800
Losing both Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuña Jr. for the season is obviously a major blow, but even if the Braves don’t win their seventh consecutive NL East title, they’ll almost certainly claim the top Wild Card spot in the senior circuit.
Max Fried, Chris Sale and Reynaldo López are all pitching at high levels, and you have to think the offense is going to get better results from Matt Olson, Austin Riley and Michael Harris II, among others, as the season goes along. If president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos can hit on a few trades this summer, the Braves will still be a dangerous playoff team.
Baltimore Orioles: +1000
Gunnar Henderson is playing at an MVP level, and the Orioles have a wealth of talent in their minor league system that will allow them to supplement what’s already a team nearly 20 games above 500.
Some of that may come in the form of promotions for Jackson Holliday and Heston Kjerstad during the season. But general manager Mike Elias has built a pipeline with incredible position player depth, which already allowed the O’s to acquire former NL Cy Young Award winner Corbin Burnes and should be able to net them a star reliever or two so they aren’t relying on Craig Kimbrel to pitch high-leverage innings in October.
Seattle Mariners: +1600
The Mariners are a difficult team to project because they have an elite starting pitching staff with Luis Castillo, Logan Gilbert, Bryce Miller and George Kirby, along with one of the game’s best closers in Andrés Muñoz.
Yet, the offense has been downright bad. And while there will likely be some internal improvements from Julio Rodríguez, Cal Raleigh and J.P. Crawford, president of baseball operations Jerry Dipoto is going to have to make multiple impact additions to the lineup this summer for the M’s to win the AL West and have a chance to do damage in the postseason.
Houston Astros: +1600
Make no mistake, the Astros are getting the benefit of the doubt here because they have been a borderline dynastic team over the last seven seasons, and neither the Mariners nor Texas Rangers has run away with the AL West. But the Astros need to heat up soon if they intend to be a playoff team in 2024.
Internally, the Astros need better results from Alex Bregman, Chas McCormick, Yainer Diaz and Ryan Pressly. Even if they get that, general manager Dana Brown will need to land upgrades in the starting rotation and at first base.
World Series Odds: The Field
- Cleveland Guardians: +2200
- Minnesota Twins: +2500
- Texas Rangers: +2500
- Milwaukee Brewers: +2800
- Chicago Cubs: +4000
- Kansas City Royals: +4000
- San Diego Padres: +4000
- Arizona Diamondbacks: +5000
- San Francisco Giants: +6000
- St. Louis Cardinals: +8000
- Tampa Bay Rays: +8000
- Toronto Blue Jays: +8000
- Detroit Tigers: +10000
- New York Mets: +10000
- Boston Red Sox: +15000
- Cincinnati Reds: +15000
- Pittsburgh Pirates: +20000
- Los Angeles Angels: +50000
- Miami Marlins: +50000
- Oakland Athletics: +50000
- Washington Nationals: +50000
- Chicago White Sox: +100000
- Colorado Rockies: +100000