Written By: Brendan Aumiller
We are undefeated on my KBO article plays. The record might only be 1-0, but it still counts! Let’s keep the streak going with another overnight KBO winner, because as we’ve discussed, it’s better than coffee.
Lotte ML (-110)
5:30 a.m. EST
I’ve noticed that my contrarian betting style works just as well on the KBO as it does on American sports, and I’ve got a gross contrarian angle in the Samsung/Lotte matchup tomorrow morning. Samsung is currently barely holding on to the last playoff spot, sitting at 28-28 on the year. They face a struggling Lotte Giants team, winners of 1 out of their last 6 games. With Jung Hoon and Han Dong-Hui hurt again, most would look to back the superior Samsung Lions tomorrow morning. I’ve got a different idea…
I’m backing the struggling Giants to avoid the home sweep. Heo Yun-dong, the starting pitcher for the Lions, does not scare me one bit. The starter for the Giants, on the other hand, has very solid numbers against Samsung this season. Lotte pitcher Glenn Sparkman is carrying a sub-2.00 ERA against the Lions this year; some pitchers simply have more success against specific teams. Two of Samsung’s best relievers pitched this morning, and I assume they will probably be unavailable for the final game of the series tomorrow morning.
I have been monitoring the line movement on all five KBO games for tomorrow’s slate, and I’m liking what I’m seeing for the Giants. The line opened at Lotte (+100), and now sits at a pick’em on most books. I was pleasantly surprised when I noticed this line movement, considering Lotte has been a fade for the past two weeks. Coupling their recent struggles and serious injury concerns, you’d assume the odds would shift towards the Lions. The fact that we’re seeing the opposite occur in the matchup makes me like the struggling Giants even more; especially considering they have the better arm on the mound. I’m willing to back the hungrier team in a “must-win” game, as the Giants look to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. It’s now or never for Lotte, let’s wake up to a winner courtesy of the Giants.