We Are Watching the End of an Astros Era
Even if Houston squeaks into the playoffs, will any Astros fans really consider the 2026 season a success?
By no means has this season gone the way that the Astros had hoped. After they were swept by the Braves at home this past weekend, Yordan Alvarez, a man of typically few words, decided to hold a players-only meeting. What was said during that meeting is unknown, but I’m sure we can all guess the message.
The Astros are not playing up to a standard they have set over the past decade.
Although the Astros are tied for the AL West lead, they are still a game below .500 and continuing a downward trend started last season. A franchise that became accustomed to winning year in and year out no longer has that same identity.
They lack lineup depth. Pitching has been a problem. Big free agent additions have fallen flat. What we are seeing is what happens to most teams with such long, sustained success. It eventually comes to an end.
Houston has raised stars and seen them leave while still winning, but at this point, the well runs dry. Recent changes to the front office and eventual changes to the coaching staff were the first signals of what is likely to come this offseason: significant change.
Even with a potential postseason berth, are you excited for the rest of the year as an Astros fan? Or are you more dreading what is to come?
Stats from before games on Sept. 22, 2026.
A Continued Trend of Departing Stars
Before we get into the doom and gloom, let’s not forget the heights Houston has reached. This recent era of Astros baseball has seen two World Series, an MVP, and a ton of playoff success.
Any team that has seen this much success will have a more difficult route to building a farm system. Later draft picks, trading away prospects to improve at the deadline and an unwillingness to move players in order to reload a system are all part of the equation.
Along the way, several impactful players have departed. Justin Verlander, George Springer, Alex Bregman, Carlos Correa, Gerrit Cole, Kyle Tucker, Framber Valdez, and more. Some were traded to recoup assets, but not nearly enough.
Sure, they won the World Series, and no one should have any regrets. But it’s also fair to say these players could have helped improve the farm system. I do think the team made the right choice to keep them (or, at least, most of them), although it came at a cost.
Now, the Astros have had back-to-back disappointing seasons and have little on the horizon. How does this team really improve for next season or the one after that? Are they going to sink money into free agents after missing on the last few? I wouldn’t say that’s likely. The farm system is not nearly where it needs to be to help boost this team to playoff success.
In order to avoid a complete spiral, the Astros need to be honest about where they are and what they have. What they have is a couple of bona fide stars and a mediocre team. It just happens that those bona fide stars are also nearing the end of their years of team control.
Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Peña will be the primary trade candidates this winter. Alvarez has two more years at just shy of $20 million, while Peña has one year left of arbitration before hitting free agency.
Add Josh Hader and his two years left, Isaac Paredes and his final year of control, and Hunter Brown and his two years, and the Astros have the ability to completely reshape their franchise. Several other less notable names could bring back value, as well.
Yes, they won’t be nearly as formidable a team, but at least the future outlook would not be so bleak. We can go back and forth on prospects, their value, and how often they pan out or don’t, but moving in this direction is the most responsible path.
We know that teams are interested in these players. We aren’t talking about salary dumps or mid-level trades, but instead, the type of moves that could flip the farm system and give the Astros legitimate hope for years to come.
Even if these players are traded, there will still be notable names on this roster.
Jose Altuve has three more seasons on his contract and is unlikely to be moved. Christian Walker has one year left at $20 million and has not played his way into being an asset you can acquire much for. Carlos Correa is another player who’s injured too often and hasn’t performed well enough for Houston to move his contract.
Many of the jerseys that you see at an Astros game will soon be outdated. The hardest part isn’t even accepting the new direction; it’s the 3-5 years following where losses are expected. Suddenly, the draft and prospects become primary discussion points instead of Yordan Alvarez potentially winning the Triple Crown.
A New Beginning
In my opinion, the Astros could have considered this direction before the season. Trying to push forward and continue with their long reign of success was admirable to some extent. Now, you are looking at a team with a terrible farm system and some big contracts, and a short window to win before those contracts expire.
Wouldn’t you hate to be the person brought in to trade these players away?
The Astros have dealt with some money issues, and it might not even be fair to call it that. Avoiding extending certain players and trying to maintain a number under the luxury tax has led to a team that isn’t quite strong enough.
That same cycle cannot continue forever. Houston needs to get younger, less expensive, and have more options that could turn into quality depth everyday starters. Right now, the only way to do that is by trading away established players.
Ripping the band-aid off, making all of the difficult moves, and milking as many Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa bobblehead nights as they can might be what the next year entails. And you know what, that’s okay. All good things must come to an end. Everything has an expiration date.
Truly, it would be the end of an era. An era that brought Houston fans the greatest success and memories that many of them will ever have as a fan. An era that is tainted for some, but the rings still shine.
Embrace the change, accept the reset, and position yourself to have a better chance to once again string together a decade of success. The next 365 days of Astros baseball will tell us a lot about not only this franchise but also their outlook for the next five years.
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