NL & AL Rookie of the Year Odds 2025: Who’s MLB’s Next Young Star? (June 2025)

There may not be a harder award race to pick in sports than MLB Rookie of the Year Awards.

Unlike in the NBA or NFL, where the top draft picks enter the league right away, and the best of the best typically are known from their first game, picking a rookie to win in the marathon of a 162-game season is a much more difficult task.

Often, the first part of the battle is just getting the rookie to the show to make their MLB debut, then it’s a matter of staying up. We have seen Rookie of the Years lead their race wire-to-wire, like Corbin Carroll in 2023, or Julio Rodriguez in 2022.

Other times, a clear-cut Rookie of the Year can be harder to find, like when Jonathan India won in 2021, or even when Luis Gil ended up taking home the award in the American League last year.

All it takes is a few hot months for any player or pitcher to vault themselves right to the top of a Rookie of the Year race. The only question is who will be the young stars that emerge this year.

This page will be your guide to the updated betting odds throughout the season, as we follow along with what is sure to be a thrilling race for both AL and NL Rookie of the Year.

Let’s dive into the odds to see which superstars are making their presence felt so far in the 2025 MLB ROY races. All odds provided are courtesy of BetMGM. For new users, use code JUSTBASEBALL for a first-bet offer up to $1500 if your first pick loses.

Current Rookie of the Year Award Odds: Top Contenders for 2025

Before we dive a little bit deeper into the races in each respective league, let’s just take a look at the current updated odds from BetMGM in the two Rookie of the Year races.

2025 American League Rookie of the Year Odds

The American League Rookie of the Year race has a clear favorite, with a wide-open field of contenders vying for second place. Jacob Wilson was at -550 odds last week and is now becoming more of a favorite at -650.

Wilson’s numbers continue to improve, and he’s becoming more of a favorite with each successive week because of it. He is hitting .362 through 68 games, all while playing good defense at shortstop for the A’s.

If he keeps up those two things, Wilson’s odds will continue to drop as he runs away with the AL Rookie of the Year Award. Beyond Wilson, many player’s odds rose with the exception of a few.

A pair of hard-hitting top prospects — Jac Caglianone and Roman Anthony — sit behind Wilson in Rookie of the Year odds and thrusted themselves into this conversation with their recent MLB debuts.

Likewise, Yankees outfielder Jasson Domínguez has been hanging around the conversation from the get-go, and he saw his odds go from +3000 last week to +2000 this week.

2025 National League Rookie of the Year Odds

Without a doubt, the NL Rookie of the Year race is much more competitive than the American League race.

Drake Baldwin’s odds continue to hover around +200 as he continues to produce for the Atlanta Braves. He’s hitting .287 with an .806 OPS and 125 wRC+ through 46 games this season.

Behind Baldwin are a pair of talented bats — Agustín Ramírez and Matt Shaw — and some electric arms — Jacob Misiorowski, Chad Patrick, and Ben Casparius — who are all carving out important roles with their respective ball clubs and are seeing their odds drop because of it.

This race is far from locked up with plenty of room for names to make a run at the hardware.

AL Rookie of the Year Odds: American League Favorites

The American League Rookie of the Year race is Jacob Wilson’s to lose, but some of baseball’s most intriguing prospects will try to give him a run for his money.

There is no denying that Jac Caglianone has the power to chase down Wilson at the top of this list.

Boasting the best raw power in the minor leagues, Caglianone ripped off six homers in just 12 games at Triple-A before earning a promotion to the big leagues. That’s after he was hitting the cover off the ball in Double-A, batting .319 with nine home runs in just 38 games.

Caglianone has yet to hit a home run in his 12 games since being called up to the majors, but his jaw-dropping exit velocities are translating to the show. The results might not be there for Caglianone just yet, but with the quality of contact he is posting right now, it’s only a matter of time until the ball starts to leave the yard.

Baseball’s top prospect, Roman Anthony, made his MLB debut with the Boston Red Sox last week. In 58 Triple-A games before getting called up, Anthony was slashing .288/.423/491 with a 146 wRC+ while walking over 19% of the time. Just before he earned a promotion, he sent a ball 497 feet into the stands.

It’s been a slower start than some anticipated for Anthony, but after hitting his first major-league home run on Monday night, perhaps that will be the spark Anthony needed to give Wilson a run for his money for this award.

With so much of the season left to be played, anything can happen, especially when talking about two of the top prospects in the game.

Big-Time Dark Horses for AL ROY in 2025

A few exciting arms and some players with star potential who have yet to really show it at the big-league level, these are the main dark horses to keep an eye on right now.

Anthony’s teammate, Marcelo Mayer, put together a two-homer effort last week and saw his odds go from +6000 to +3000 as a result. While the overall stats haven’t been outstanding, it was a flash of the player he can be when he gets things going at the plate. A few more of those performances, and Mayer could shoot up this board.

Shane Smith has been terrific for the White Sox this season and continues to string together impressive outings. Across 13 starts and 68.1 innings, he’s throwing to the tune of a 2.37 ERA. Since Smith is doing it with an uncompetitive White Sox team, though, he’s going to need to do something truly special in order to insert himself in the favorites conversation.

Another arm who has been taking the baseball world by storm is Kansas City Royals southpaw Noah Cameron. Across his seven starts and 42.1 innings, Cameron is posting a 1.91 ERA with a WHIP under 1.00. Cameron has taken advantage of his opportunity and has thrived in the Royals’ rotation this season.

It’ll be a long shot for any of these players to surpass the names ahead of them in odds, but these are some impressive rookies whose stock is rising.

NL Rookie of the Year Odds: National League Favorites

If the Braves can find a way to keep Drake Baldwin in the lineup consistently, he’s got the type of bat that can run away with this award. He’s been outstanding this season and a big piece of Atlanta’s offense. Still, there are plenty of talented bats not too far behind him in odds.

In the same division, Agustín Ramírez has hit the cover off the ball, racking up 10 homers in his first 46 games, slugging .457 with a .220 isolated power. He is the real sleeper amongst the favorites, as he has the benefit of being on a rebuilding team where his playing time is going to be there.

Matt Shaw is back in the majors and he continues to hang around the Rookie of the Year conversation. Since being recalled, Shaw is hitting .264 with seven stolen bases, and he saw his odds drop from +700 last week to +500 this week.

The real riser in this grouping is Jacob Misiorowski, the flamethrower for the Milwaukee Brewers. The most electric arm in the minors made his MLB debut last week and put his arsenal on full display, tossing five scoreless, no-hit innings.

It was as strong of a major-league debut as anyone could have hoped for, and Misiorowski looks to be a mainstay in a Brewers rotation that will be leaned upon to carry them to the postseason. If Misiorowski can keep the command in check and limit the blowup outings, the sky is the limit with this young hurler. Now might be the time to buy stock before it’s too late.

Big-Time Dark Horses for NL ROY in 2025

Following a recent move to the starting rotation, Ben Casparius of the Los Angeles Dodgers saw his odds go from +3500 last week all the way to +1100 this week, and it’s easy to see why.

In 23 outings this season (21 as a reliever), Casparius is throwing to a 3.02 ERA with a 2.23 FIP and 1.03 WHIP while striking out 25% of batters faced. If he can maintain that momentum, he can make some noise in the NL Rookie of the Year conversation.

Bubba Chandler is another arm showcasing his talent in Triple-A, throwing to a 2.63 ERA across 13 starts while striking out 12.27 hitters per nine. There’s a reason why he’s the No. 2 prospect in the sport, and as soon as he reaches the majors, he could take the world by storm given his talent.

The problem is he’ll be doing it with a Pirates team that is hanging around the bottom of the standings, although that didn’t stop his teammate, Paul Skenes, from taking home the hardware a season ago. It shouldn’t be much longer until he earns a promotion, and with how wide-open this race is, he could certainly throw his way into the favorites conversation.

The list of dark horses for NL Rookie of the Year is loaded with talented pitchers who could all make a run in the coming months if they continue to post strong results.

How to Follow the MLB Rookie of the Year Odds

When betting on awards futures, timing is everything. Knowing when it is right to strike is half the battle in making sure you are finding value on the board. Consistently keeping tabs on the odds each week will show you how a player’s market is fluncuating, which can help you find the right time to place your future’s bet.

There might not be much value in taking Jacob Wilson right now since he is such a favorite, but before the season, you could have gotten him at +700 odds. Instead, looking at another rookie who has the ability to ignite like Jasson Dominguez may be a better bet, and it may be wise to hop on it now before he has another hot week and the odds get worse for you.

At the end of the year, BBWAA voters typically base their criteria on who wins these awards largely on stats, but narrative and team role certainly do factor in. Last year, a great case could have been made for Jackson Merrill, but the narrative and sensation that was Paul Skenes was too much for him to topple. Keeping all those aspects in mind can help you pick the right horse in this race.