Updated 2024 NL and AL MVP Odds: Mid-June

Halfway through June, a pair of former MVP winners are currently the favorites to take home their second trophies.

Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees warms up before the game against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium.
ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA - MAY 30: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees warms up before the game against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on May 30, 2024 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Meg Oliphant/Getty Images)

Neither the American League nor the National League is guaranteed to have a first-time MVP in 2024, but both circuits are certain to have different winners than in 2023.

Last year’s AL MVP, Shohei Ohtani, is now in the NL, having departed the Los Angeles Angels for the Dodgers in free agency on a 10-year, $700 million deal.

Meanwhile, last year’s NL MVP, Ronald Acuña Jr., is out for the season after tearing the ACL in his left knee late in May.

With two and a half months of play in the books, here’s an updated look at the latest odds for both AL and NL MVP in 2024.

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Stats, rankings, and odds updated prior to first pitch on June 13.

Latest NL MVP Odds

Mookie Betts hitter power rankings
LOS ANGELES, CA – APRIL 15: Mookie Betts #50 of the Los Angeles Dodgers bats in the fifth inning during the game between the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium on Monday, April 15, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Michael Owens/MLB Photos via Getty Images)

Mookie Betts – SS, Los Angeles Dodgers: +140

Betts is the favorite because of an insane month of April that saw him hit .340 with a .957 OPS. His 3.3 fWAR is the top mark among NL position players, and while defensive metrics are divided on his performance at shortstop — he has two defensive runs saved and -7 outs above average — being willing to play such a demanding position for the first time in your age-31 season is pretty impressive.

Since joining the Dodgers, Betts has finished second in NL MVP voting twice (2020 and 2023). If he finally gets over the hump and wins NL MVP in 2024, he’ll become the second player in MLB history to win MVPs in both leagues — he was the AL MVP with the Boston Red Sox in 2018 — joining Hall of Famer Frank Robinson.

Bryce Harper – 1B, Philadelphia Phillies: +400

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Harper is attempting to become the 11th player in MLB history to win three MVPs, joining Mike Trout as the only active players to do so. He’s largely adjusted well in his first season playing first base on a full-time basis, and he is among the NL leaders in home runs (15), RBIs (46), walks (43) and fWAR (2.7).

It also doesn’t hurt that the Phillies currently have the best record in the NL, although Harper’s two previous MVPs came in years (2015 and 2021) when his team missed the postseason.

Shohei Ohtani – DH, Dodgers: +425

Someone forgot to tell Ohtani that he’s supposed to take a break from winning MVPs this season since he isn’t pitching. Admittedly, it may take Ohtani hitting 50 home runs for him to become the first full-time DH to win an MVP. But would it surprise anyone if he pulls that off?

Like Betts, if Ohtani wins the NL MVP this year, he’ll be the second player to win both AL and NL MVP. And like Harper, if he wins this year’s NL MVP, Ohtani will join Trout, his former teammate, as the only active players in the sport with three MVP awards.

Fernando Tatis Jr. – RF, San Diego Padres: +1000

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Tatis has two previous top-four finishes in NL MVP voting, including a third-place showing in 2021. He isn’t hitting quite at the level he did in 2020 and 2021, but an .828 OPS isn’t anything to scoff at, particularly if the Padres are also able to make the playoffs.

A year ago, Tatis won the Platinum Glove as the NL’s best defender, posting 29 defensive runs saved and 11 outs above average in his first season as a right fielder. Thus far, he hasn’t been able to replicate that success, with -3 DRS and zero OAA. Getting hot in the field, if such a thing is possible, would help to bolster his case.

Marcell Ozuna – DH, Atlanta Braves: +1600

Like Ohtani, Ozuna is going to have to overcome the DH thing to win the MVP, something Hall of Famers Edgar Martinez and David Ortiz were never able to do. His off-field history also will likely prevent him from being a player many people outside of Atlanta — and some inside, for that matter — rally around.

From a baseball sense, though, Ozuna has been one of the most productive hitters in the league this year. The two-time All-Star currently leads the NL in home runs (18), RBIs (55), slugging percentage (.602), OPS (.994) and OPS+ (178).

William Contreras – C, Milwaukee Brewers: +1800

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Contreras was an All-Star with the Braves in 2022, before winning the Silver Slugger Award and getting some down-ballot NL MVP support a year ago; he finished 11th in MVP voting during his first season with the Brewers.

The 26-year-old has continued to assert himself as the best catcher in the NL in 2024. He’s currently hitting .305 with an .833 OPS and 2.5 fWAR for a Brewers team that leads the NL Central.

Latest AL MVP Odds

NEW YORK, NEW YORK – APRIL 22: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees celebrates his solo home run in the fifth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Yankee Stadium on April 22, 2022 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

Aaron Judge – OF, New York Yankees: -125

For those of you keeping score at home, Judge currently leads all of baseball in home runs (25), RBIs (62), walks (55), on-base percentage (.433), slugging percentage (.702), OPS (1.135), OPS+ (216), total bases (174) and fWAR (5.0).

Judge is on pace to win his second AL MVP in three years, and he might challenge his own AL single-season record of 62 home runs in the process.

Gunnar Henderson – SS, Baltimore Orioles: +450

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It’s a shame for Henderson that Judge is outshining him right now, because if he was in the NL, his 21 home runs, 47 RBIs, .971 OPS and 4.5 fWAR would make him the favorite to win the MVP.

Henderson won the AL Rookie of the Year Award in 2023, so it would be quite the thing, particularly as an Orioles shortstop, to immediately follow that up with an MVP. Hall of Famer Cal Ripken Jr. won the AL Rookie of the Year in 1982 before taking home the MVP in 1983. Baltimore also won a World Series in the second of those seasons.

Juan Soto – RF, Yankees: +500

An MVP is basically the only thing missing from Soto’s resume, as he previously finished in the top six in NL MVP voting on three occasions, including as runner-up to Harper in 2021. Judge is currently making it difficult to envision Soto being the Yankee that wins AL MVP this year, but the younger slugger is going to be in the mix for sure.

More importantly, Soto is setting himself up to receive, perhaps, the most lucrative contract (by present-day value) in MLB history this upcoming offseason when he becomes a free agent.

Bobby Witt Jr. – SS, Kansas City Royals: +500

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While he may not be the starting shortstop for the AL, Witt is headed for his first All-Star Game appearance in 2024. And he’s likely to finish even higher in AL MVP voting than he did a year ago, when he checked in at No. 7.

Witt leads all of baseball in runs scored (58) while posting the top junior circuit marks in terms of hits (91) and batting average (.326). The 11-year, $288.8 million extension that Witt signed with the Royals this past offseason already looks like a bargain.

José Ramírez – 3B, Cleveland Guardians: +2000

Ramírez’s path to the Hall of Fame may not come by virtue of his winning multiple AL MVPs. But make no mistake, the four-time Silver Slugger Award winner is building a compelling Cooperstown case. He’s going to be an All-Star for the sixth time and is likely headed for the sixth top-six finish in AL MVP voting in his decorated career.

He’s previously led the AL in sacrifice hits, doubles, runs scored and intentional walks. This year, Ramírez has the most RBIs (62) of any player in the sport.

Corey Seager – SS, Texas Rangers: +5000

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Seager’s resume includes four All-Star Game appearances, three Silver Sluggers, an NL Rookie of the Year Award, an NLCS MVP and two World Series MVPs. However, a regular season MVP Award has eluded Seager. He finished third in NL MVP voting in 2016 and runner-up in AL MVP voting a year ago.

This looks like a difficult year to stand out in the AL, particularly as a shortstop. But Seager does have 14 home runs and a .362 on-base percentage, so he’s definitely going to appear on ballots, even if it isn’t in the top spot.

Kyle Tucker – RF, Houston Astros: +5000

Tucker was firmly in the MVP race before Judge’s recent other-worldly stretch, and before a right shin contusion landed the Astros’ star on the injured list.

While his odds are relatively low, this might not be a bad time to get in on Tucker. For as poorly as the Astros season has gone to this point, the two-time All-Star has 19 home runs, 40 RBIs and a .979 OPS. Despite finishing fifth in AL MVP voting last year, it somehow feels like Tucker is overlooked.